The world of finance is never short of investment analysis, perspectives, based on history, current valuation, and in-depth analysis. Investment economist and advisors often combine these elements with “what ifs" or unanticipated developments. This past year was the most heightened in markets anticipation we have probably seen since 2009. This forecasting from Wall Street economist and expert investment advisors can lead you to one conclusion: the analysis, perspectives and viewpoints is at best forecasting and easy to conclude no one really knows what will happen. .
A central theme seemed certain throughout 2022, with the Federal Reserve in control of the US economy will we have a U.S. recession with a hard landing or a soft landing. The predictions and forecast continue today with so many unknown variables, such as any major geopolitical action, or unanticipated events like last year’s Russian invasion of Croatia, China lockdowns, supply chain, covid outbreaks, energy shortage or food supply can be major disruptors. Global trade is now starting to take on a more regional shape.
These events combined with Fed actions have invoked substantial concerns or fear spread across virtually all investment horizons worldwide. Moving forward one thing is certain as we assimilate the economy, Fed actions, financial markets, and leading indicators; change is imminent. The financial markets went from looking like normal volatility to a downhill roller coaster ride”. I for one would like to see a little more of traditional “hips and valleys” markets instead of a “downhill mountain express”.
As an investment advisor I monitor the insights, leading indicators to provide clarity to the changing financial conditionsLPL Financial-Outlook 2023 and prudent course of action for our clients.
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Conclusion we hope last year’s “mountain express roller coaster ride” is a little softer ride this year with anticipation to finish looking more like an “incline”.